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Prediction markets for Desktop

Will 2026 be the year of the Linux desktop?

Jan 6, 7:06 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

9.4%chance

158245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

310

32

Will the year of the self-driving car happen before the year of the Linux desktop

Dec 26, 7:45 PMJan 2, 7:54 AM

92.95%chance

554269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2480

782

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Aug 3, 10:51 AMAug 11, 4:59 AM

58.51%chance

231657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

842

What process node will AMD use for the Zen 6 desktop CPU cores?

Jun 24, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

3624

OptionProbability

TSMC 2nm (Other)

TSMC N2

TSMC N2P

Other

TSMC N3

TSMC N3E

TSMC N3P

TSMC N3X

TSMC N2X

TSMC N4

TSMC N4X

34

29

13

5

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

Google resurrects Google Desktop by EOY2028?

Apr 12, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.78%chance

7602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

592

17

Will humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search?

Nov 19, 8:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.48%chance

4253

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

843

Zen 6 desktop CPU with 7.00+ GHz max boost clock before 2029?

Nov 6, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.01%chance

5170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

312

67

Will desktop CPUs using Zen 7 be on the AM5 platform?

Jun 1, 1:58 PMJan 1, 2:57 PM

47.55%chance

2167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

138

Microsoft ships a Linux desktop by 2032?

Nov 20, 8:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.01%chance

7159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

183

55

Will desktop Anki and/or AnkiDroid have paid features by Jan 1, 2027?

Feb 3, 11:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.31%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

If "mosaic" tiling becomes the default behavior of the GNOME desktop environment by 2026, will it last 1 year or more?

Sep 13, 5:33 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

50%chance

353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

74

66

Will some1 create a desktop virtual assistant modeled after Jose Luis Ricon [like BonziBuddy/HP Tour Guide] by EOY 2029?

Feb 9, 3:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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