OptionProbability
2040 or earlier
2050 or earlier
2100 or earlier
2030 or earlier
2029 or earlier
2028 or earlier
2027 or earlier
End of 2026 or earlier
2024, by Election Day
End of 2025 or earlier
17
8
7
5
4
1
0
TSMC 2nm (Other)
TSMC N2
TSMC N2P
Other
TSMC N3
TSMC N3E
TSMC N3P
TSMC N3X
TSMC N2X
TSMC N4
TSMC N4X
34
29
13
3
2
