OptionVotes
YES
NO
1192
839
OptionProbability
A heckler interrupts at any point
OpenAI releases a Grok Bot competitor
OpenAI releases or publicly previews “Persistent Mode”
OpenAI perpetuals increase in value by >2% the next 24 hours after the start of Dev Day
OpenAI publicly reveals the form factor or product name of its Jony Ive/LoveFrom consumer AI device
59
41
34
25
Q4 2026
Q1 2027
Q2 2027
Q2 2026
Q3 2026
35
18
15