Developer Verification News
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Prediction markets for Developer Verification
OptionVotes
166695
59990
Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?
Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39%chance
535054
OptionVotes
1458
418
Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?
Mar 18, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.22%chance
371941
OptionVotes
1047
931
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
46.61%chance
211358
OptionVotes
1266
436
Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?
May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
38.95%chance
91300
OptionVotes
3864
3220
OptionVotes
1350
741
Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?
Feb 5, 2:40 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
34.43%chance
14318
OptionVotes
1039
903
OptionVotes
1145
982
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011
OptionProbability
50
50
34
34
24
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17


