Devices News

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Jan 4, 5:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.11%chance

7310550

OptionVotes

YES

3614

277

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

217286

OptionVotes

YES

15272

6552

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Jan 21, 2:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

59.28%chance

361830

OptionVotes

YES

1090

763

Apple Vision Pro breaks 50% annual VR/AR device market share through 2026

Jun 6, 2:38 PMJun 7, 3:59 AM

17.65%chance

15720

OptionVotes

YES

1330

900

Will Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000?

May 25, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.54%chance

12595

OptionVotes

YES

1034

976

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

1173

596

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

Oct 24, 3:32 AMDec 31, 3:01 PM

21%chance

10384

OptionVotes

YES

1063

957

Real world adblocking device available by end 2031

Oct 2, 5:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.42%chance

14379

OptionVotes

YES

1050

902

Space Mission or groundbased observation device whose major objectives from the start include observation of 3l/Atlas?

Oct 14, 9:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.32%chance

2255

OptionVotes

YES

582

145

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Jun 19, 5:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.77%chance

6221

OptionVotes

YES

1089

919

Will the Michigan Tinnitus Device (Auricle) be released before the end of 2030?

Nov 29, 10:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.34%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

1599

1582

Will a major Middle Eastern nation successfully detonate a nuclear device before the end of 2027?

Apr 13, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

The 4-stage escalation trap and which stage we're at now

Iran's nuclear strategy — how many weapons, test detonation logic, timeline

Global power shifts — China, Russia, Iran as a combined bloc vs. the US

Oil control — Iran + Russia potentially controlling 30% of world oil supply

Trump's options — ground troops, oil fields, the deal with Israel containment

NATO's future — whether Article 5 still has any real meaning

Devices News

Prediction markets for Devices

Prediction markets for Devices

Prediction markets for Devices

Did tech companies spy on you through device microphones?

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Will Apple have on-device TTS that is indistinguishable from a human narrator before 2027?

Apple Vision Pro breaks 50% annual VR/AR device market share through 2026

Will Apple launch their first folding devices with one that costs less than $2000?

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

Real world adblocking device available by end 2031

Space Mission or groundbased observation device whose major objectives from the start include observation of 3l/Atlas?

100+ people regain mobility using a Neuralink device by mid 2027

Will the Michigan Tinnitus Device (Auricle) be released before the end of 2030?

Will a major Middle Eastern nation successfully detonate a nuclear device before the end of 2027?

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