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Prediction markets for Diamond

Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?

Apr 7, 2:51 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

20.43%chance

74874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9864

2540

Will Destiny Reach Diamond In League Of Legends (Permanent)

Dec 10, 10:58 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

23948

OptionProbability

NO

YES

583

335

In what year would the largest lab grown diamond surpass the worlds largest natural diamond?

Feb 19, 10:38 PMJan 27, 6:29 PM

2928

OptionProbability

2030

2035+

2033

2034

2031

2032

2028

2029

2027

2026

2025

2024

Other

21

11

9

9

8

8

7

7

6

5

4

3

0

Will the UK return the Kohinoor Diamond to India before 2030?

Apr 30, 1:33 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.17%chance

18785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

910

Will the gap between open-weights and frontier models on GPQA Diamond be at most 7%?

Aug 5, 9:17 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

49.43%chance

8600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

Large language model at least diamond in StarCraft 2 by 2028?

Apr 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.91%chance

10299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

367

27

Diamond Jozu Stock

May 10, 10:57 PMMay 10, 10:59 PM

3150

OptionProbability

NO

YES

220

76

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Widespread Use of Diamond and/or Diamondoid Materials in Large Scale Structures by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.52%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

159

Will there be CPUs manufactured on diamond wafers by 2100?

May 27, 3:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.19%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

88

Will Jared Diamond reach age 93?

Nov 18, 7:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.9%chance

433

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

92

Will there be restrictions on the sale of natural diamonds in any state by 2060?

Aug 20, 3:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.89%chance

417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

99

Will someone write a new diamond age book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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