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Prediction markets for Diamond

GPT-5 score on GPQA Diamond?

Apr 22, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

122231

Will Destiny Reach Diamond In League Of Legends (Permanent)

Dec 10, 10:58 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

23948

OptionProbability

NO

YES

583

335

Will the UK return the Kohinoor Diamond to India before 2030?

Apr 30, 1:33 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

22.12%chance

17735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1206

924

Will the gap between open-weights and frontier models on GPQA Diamond be at most 7%?

Aug 5, 9:17 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

49.43%chance

8600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

Large language model at least diamond in StarCraft 2 by 2028?

Apr 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.91%chance

8162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

Diamond Jozu Stock

May 10, 10:57 PMMay 10, 10:59 PM

3150

OptionProbability

NO

YES

220

76

DIAMOND league user below 5k mana net worth in August?

Jul 13, 4:19 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

35.88%chance

8137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

75

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Widespread Use of Diamond and/or Diamondoid Materials in Large Scale Structures by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.14%chance

580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

149

Will there be CPUs manufactured on diamond wafers by 2100?

May 27, 3:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.19%chance

340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

88

Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?

Apr 7, 2:51 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

49.79%chance

424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5014

4986

Will there be restrictions on the sale of natural diamonds in any state by 2060?

Aug 20, 3:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.89%chance

417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

99

Will someone write a new diamond age book featuring @arithmoquine, repligate, adic_9, JDP, or parafactual by 2028

Jun 11, 5:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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