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Ishiba Faces Early LDP Election Push After South Korea Summit
Authors
15
7 months ago
Prediction markets for Diet
How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?
Jun 27, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40130698
OptionProbability
26
21
20
18
17
11
Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?
Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM
69.61%chance
10535467
OptionVotes
15133
6608
If Eliezer Yudkowsky tried diet and exercise for 6 months, would he lose a reasonable amount of weight?
Nov 14, 8:15 AMNov 21, 10:59 PM
98.24%chance
285558
OptionVotes
791
7
"Shangri-La diet" theory becomes widely accepted by scientists before 2030.
Nov 30, 9:36 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
8.78%chance
193924
OptionVotes
1259
945
Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor?
Feb 17, 4:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
553010
OptionProbability
45
40
10
3
2
Will I have a heart attack or stroke in the next five years if I continue on a ruminant diet?
Apr 17, 1:41 AMMay 1, 4:59 AM
26.32%chance
10718
OptionVotes
259
209
Will the "wild parrot diet" (eating what parrots eat) be shown to be healthier than eating the "standard American diet"?
May 4, 11:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
42.83%chance
10334
OptionVotes
576
331
OptionVotes
204
73
Will almond milk in tetrapak have lower microplastic concentrations than diet Coke
Nov 15, 3:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
45%chance
345
OptionVotes
90
89
Has John Carmack lost more than 2 IQ points due to toxins from all the diet coke he has been drinking?
Oct 5, 4:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
42.06%chance
435
OptionVotes
143
119
Before EOY2026, will there be a study showing the effect of diet soda on inflammatory markers?
Mar 1, 5:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
51.4%chance
27
OptionVotes
103
97