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Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.15%chance

8211322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1434

1169

Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2040?

Jan 4, 12:41 PMJan 3, 4:59 AM

66.82%chance

513706

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1302

755

Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2028?

Dec 27, 3:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.54%chance

442610

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

921

Will a right to digital privacy be established in the USA saying your AI cannot be used against you in a court of law?

May 6, 11:40 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

10%chance

261713

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

1005

Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027?

Sep 13, 11:40 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.49%chance

291424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

914

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

231222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

621

Will brain organoid computing solve a problem which is infeasible using existing digital AI in the next 10 years?

Jan 10, 7:54 PMJan 17, 10:59 PM

23.46%chance

23806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1178

923

Will there be laws protecting digital artificial intelligences from hate crimes in the USA by the end of 2060?

Apr 4, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.79%chance

13635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

649

Will an artificial intelligence or digital person be named as a party in a criminal trial in the USA by EOY 2048?

Apr 5, 5:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.13%chance

12604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

973

If I stick with Digital Ocean, will they attempt to censor any content I host with them before 2030?

Mar 6, 3:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.45%chance

5411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1118

895

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

17311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

904

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