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Prediction markets for Digital Art
Prediction markets for Digital Art
Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026?
Jan 2, 6:14 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
79.5%
chance
10
1111
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1970
508
Will we be able to read AIs minds in 2030?
Mar 24, 5:59 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
25.01%
chance
31
851
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1249
875
Will there be laws protecting digital artificial intelligences from hate crimes in the USA by the end of 2060?
Apr 4, 8:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
54.79%
chance
13
635
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1291
649
Will an artificial intelligence or digital person be named as a party in a criminal trial in the USA by EOY 2048?
Apr 5, 5:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
49.13%
chance
12
604
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1012
973
Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?
Mar 24, 9:30 AM
Jan 1, 6:29 AM
59.37%
chance
15
591
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
765
Will someone be prosecuted for a hate crime against a digital artificial intelligence in the USA by the end of 2060?
Apr 4, 8:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
43.97%
chance
18
565
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1030
955
Will there be laws protecting digital artificial intelligences from hate crimes in the USA by the end of 2030?
Jun 30, 5:34 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.42%
chance
11
517
Option
Votes
YES
NO
353
28
Will an artificial intelligence or digital person be named as a party in a criminal trial in the USA by EOY 2038?
Apr 5, 5:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
34.81%
chance
7
182
Option
Votes
YES
NO
240
201
An argument that can convince someone that strong GAI would be capable of taking over the world. [M$50,000 bounty]
Dec 20, 10:57 PM
0
0
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