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Prediction markets for Digital Marketing AI

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

20%chance

132932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?

Jul 14, 6:30 PMDec 31, 10:17 PM

6.85%chance

372036

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1780

888

Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?

Dec 23, 9:10 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

91%chance

231906

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

824

Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-5 is sentient?

May 15, 7:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.19%chance

211719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1987

795

Will any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027?

Sep 13, 11:40 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

24.49%chance

291424

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1203

914

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

38.12%chance

191260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

570

Will brain organoid computing solve a problem which is infeasible using existing digital AI in the next 10 years?

Jan 10, 7:54 PMJan 17, 10:59 PM

23.46%chance

23806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1178

923

Will cattle be wiped out before the year 2030?

Jul 3, 8:55 PMDec 31, 12:39 PM

5.34%chance

15635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

961

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Mar 22, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

When will freedom.gov go live?

Mar 4, 5:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

241

OptionProbability

May 1, 2026 – August 31, 2026

On or Before April 30, 2026

September 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026

Jan 1, 2027 +

56

16

16

13

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