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Prediction markets for Digital News Report

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.82%chance

9412544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12271

8388

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

639778

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

Independents

55

45

0

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.24%chance

251469

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

367

Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?

Mar 1, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.51%chance

231383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

414

24

Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?

May 19, 11:02 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

24.58%chance

7449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?

Jul 20, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.79%chance

7286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Now Amazon buys CEC Entertainment on 2031

Feb 10, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.95%chance

5157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Jun 19, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.15%chance

8112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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