Digital News Report News

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.54%chance

17534125

OptionVotes

YES

14201

7469

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7520071

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.24%chance

251469

OptionVotes

YES

1334

367

Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?

Mar 1, 9:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.26%chance

241393

OptionVotes

YES

424

Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?

Jul 20, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.26%chance

10805

OptionVotes

YES

159

Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?

May 19, 11:02 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

24.58%chance

7449

OptionVotes

YES

175

Now Amazon buys CEC Entertainment on 2031

Feb 10, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.95%chance

5157

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Jun 19, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.15%chance

8112

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will A2O Lite's next song achieve a perfect all-kill?

Oct 26, 8:52 PMDec 31, 8:51 PM

33.08%chance

5105

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.76%chance

173

OptionVotes

YES

119

Iran Conflict Props

Oct 21, 5:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

232

OptionProbability

US or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026

Will Iran hit a hyperscaler data center in the Gulf before 2027?

Will US/Israeli strikes cause a nationwide or multi-province power blackout in Iran lasting at least 24 hours before 2027?

Will all Iran–Iraq land border crossings close to commercial freight simultaneously for 48+ hours before Dec 31, 2026?

Will comic cons worldwide cease to exist before 2050?

Oct 10, 12:59 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

7.84%chance

OptionVotes

YES

102

100

Digital News Report News

Prediction markets for Digital News Report

Prediction markets for Digital News Report

Prediction markets for Digital News Report

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Will any Nuclear weapons be used by the US till 2027?

Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?

Will the Take It Down act be used by the Trump administration to target political opponents?

Now Amazon buys CEC Entertainment on 2031

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Will A2O Lite's next song achieve a perfect all-kill?

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Iran Conflict Props

Will comic cons worldwide cease to exist before 2050?

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