OptionProbability
Nebraska misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
Northwestern misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
Washington St. misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
TCU misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
FAU misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
South Carolina misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
Rutgers misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (MN, 11/5)
Cincinnati misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (GP, 11/5)
Over 32.5 pts + rebounds + assists + blocks + steals by Cooper Flagg (GP took over, MN took under, 11/5)
Larrañaga out as Miami head coach by April (MN & GP both no, 11/11)
SEC will get 12+ teams into the tourney (MN, 12/15)
2025 champ comes from the SEC (MN & GP, 11/11)
These 4 are the only new coaches at high-major programs to make the 2025 NCAA tournament: Kalipari at UArk, Diebler at OSU, Pope at KY, May at U-M (GP & MN, see comments for full list, 11/5)
Wisconsin misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
BYU misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
Mississippi St. misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN, 11/5)
Utah St. misses the 2025 NCAA tournament after being a single-digit seed in 2024 (MN & GP, 11/5)
Texas A&M misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (MN, 11/5)
Ole Miss misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (MN, 11/5)
Kentucky misses the 2025 NCAA tournament despite being in the AP preseason Top 25 (GP, 11/5)
Over 6.5 non-power conference (outside big-6) at-large NCAA tournament bids (GP under at 4, MN over at 8)
Arizona is the last regular season unbeaten team (MN, 11/5)
UConn is the last regular season unbeaten team (GP, 11/5)
High-major coach fired before Jan 19th (GP & MN both said no, 11/5)
Will Wade is coaching McNeese State in Nov 2025 (GP & MN both said no, 11/5)
Marquette's Kam Jones has over 2.5 40-point games this season (GP took under, MN took over, 11/5)
A-10 will get 3+ teams into the tourney (MN, 12/15)
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