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Diluted News
Prediction markets for Diluted
Prediction markets for Diluted
If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
Jul 21, 11:15 AM
Nov 8, 12:14 PM
61.53%
chance
35
14537
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1265
791
In 2030, will I believe that 10g of Stevia (the product in the packets) is healthier than 1g of refined sugar?
Aug 25, 7:15 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
22.17%
chance
19
1574
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1269
824
Will the OpenSea token be >1 billion a week after launch?
Jan 22, 7:46 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
62.08%
chance
3
595
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1280
782
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson rule in favor of Virginia's redistricting
May 9, 1:20 AM
Jan 1, 2:19 AM
79.63%
chance
5
465
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1435
857
Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?
Aug 11, 1:45 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
12.24%
chance
13
363
Option
Votes
YES
NO
268
37
Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?
Apr 1, 4:49 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20%
chance
8
261
Option
Votes
YES
NO
200
50
Will an "AGI insider" class accept the political disempowerment of everyone else?
Aug 8, 9:03 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
62.65%
chance
4
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
77
Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028?
Jun 18, 3:10 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44.36%
chance
1
12
Option
Votes
YES
NO
112
89
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