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Prediction markets for Direct Air Capture

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.7%chance

29334058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3948

3188

Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]

Oct 30, 3:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.39%chance

231444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

689

Alphafold involved in a SOTA C02 direct air capture method by mid 2026 ?

Jun 2, 8:33 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

35.58%chance

5475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

743

During what year will the cost of CO2 sequestration per tonne drop by 10x from 2023 prices?

Oct 24, 3:53 AMOct 31, 6:59 AM

8424

OptionProbability

2030s

2040s

2060-2099

2050s

2026-2029

>=2100

2025

2024

29

23

23

21

17

12

11

6

Anthropogenic olivine-based direct air capture of CO2 at >10^9 tons CO2/year before 2050?

Aug 10, 12:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.81%chance

211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99

83

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