Direct File News

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

788397421

OptionVotes

YES

5430

3850

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.16%chance

26682672

OptionVotes

YES

8636

4842

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Mar 6, 9:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

53%chance

818907

OptionVotes

YES

1027

830

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?

Feb 15, 6:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

19.3%chance

455119

OptionVotes

YES

2045

489

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Sep 23, 12:55 PMJan 20, 1:52 PM

25.35%chance

73975

OptionVotes

YES

5768

100

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.28%chance

313849

OptionVotes

YES

2338

406

Will an individual-directed ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027?

Apr 9, 9:49 AMApr 9, 9:48 AM

43.17%chance

223650

OptionVotes

YES

4443

3625

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.1%chance

182577

OptionVotes

YES

1933

517

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.01%chance

9739

OptionVotes

YES

1306

767

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

YES

1363

876

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.8%chance

7407

OptionVotes

YES

1050

822

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Option 1: Team A (The Firebrands: Sifuna/Babu/Arati/Orengo) - Resolves if Sifuna remains SG or ODM officially supports a presidential candidate (even from another party, e.g., Kalonzo Musyoka or Fred Matiang'i)with a nod from the firebrands

Option 2: Team B (The Broad-based: Wanga/Joho/Mbadi) - Resolves if a Team B member becomes SG or the party officially joins the Government coalition for 2027.

Option 3: Add names to complement your Team or suggest your prefered team formation and alignment

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Prediction markets for Direct File

Prediction markets for Direct File

Prediction markets for Direct File

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Will an individual-directed ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027?

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

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