Direct File News

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26.67%chance

774387144

OptionVotes

YES

6340

3474

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.17%chance

11143185

OptionVotes

YES

7388

6189

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

9.29%chance

7639546

OptionVotes

YES

31241

3201

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Mar 6, 9:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59.97%chance

808792

OptionVotes

YES

1176

716

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?

Feb 15, 6:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

15.7%chance

444024

OptionVotes

YES

2317

432

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Sep 23, 12:55 PMJan 20, 1:52 PM

25.35%chance

73975

OptionVotes

YES

5768

100

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Jan 4, 11:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.04%chance

263356

OptionVotes

YES

2717

1188

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.52%chance

172051

OptionVotes

YES

1909

524

Will the IRS free file alternative (Direct File) be publicly available for filing 2025 federal taxes?

Dec 29, 4:58 PMApr 16, 3:59 AM

5.08%chance

162009

OptionVotes

YES

543

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.01%chance

5381

OptionVotes

YES

1363

734

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.8%chance

3300

OptionVotes

YES

1015

943

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

Jan 8, 11:12 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Option 1: Team A (The Firebrands: Sifuna/Babu/Arati/Orengo) - Resolves if Sifuna remains SG or ODM officially supports a presidential candidate (even from another party, e.g., Kalonzo Musyoka or Fred Matiang'i)with a nod from the firebrands

Option 2: Team B (The Broad-based: Wanga/Joho/Mbadi) - Resolves if a Team B member becomes SG or the party officially joins the Government coalition for 2027.

Option 3: Add names to complement your Team or suggest your prefered team formation and alignment

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Prediction markets for Direct File

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Prediction markets for Direct File

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?

Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?

Will we learn by 2027 that Maduro’s ouster was an internal coup with US assistance?

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Will the IRS free file alternative (Direct File) be publicly available for filing 2025 federal taxes?

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

ODM: Mutiny 4 Unity or Utility 4 futility.Will Sifuna & Babu Owino snatch the Orange from the Broad-based Government?

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