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Prediction markets for Direct Send

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.98%chance

25979322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9468

4190

Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Feb 19, 6:04 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

3.28%chance

5611612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5428

184

If Russia starts a war against a Baltic state, will the US military engage in combat against the Russian military?

May 20, 7:33 AMJan 27, 10:59 PM

43.62%chance

599696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

880

Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?

Mar 5, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.66%chance

249456

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Donald Trump attempts to withdraw from NATO

Jan 27, 3:17 PMDec 2, 11:01 PM

328230

OptionProbability

Trump -> Stay

Trump -> Withdraw

Biden -> Stay (NO)

Biden -> Withdraw (NO)

Other -> Withdraw (NO)

Other -> Stay (NO)

82

17

1

0

0

0

USA(J)MO cutoffs are biased?

Feb 28, 3:14 AMJan 1, 3:01 AM

79.87%chance

191939

OptionVotes

NO

YES

199

50

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

What US cities will Trump occupy? [ Add Answers ]

Sep 7, 10:33 PMJan 31, 11:02 PM

10957

OptionProbability

Portland, OR

Memphis

Detroit, MI

Minneapolis

Chicago, IL

Baltimore, MD

San Francisco, CA

Seattle, WA

Philadelphia, PA

New Orleans, LA

Oakland, CA

Miami, FL

100

100

50

50

49

48

45

45

45

40

37

26

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

37%chance

3305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1305

766

Will @Quroe be the next moderator to ban me?

Jul 29, 5:24 PMDec 31, 6:20 PM

31.62%chance

3173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

68

Will MAA release cutoff scores for USA(J)MO ever again?

Jul 6, 2:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.21%chance

352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

66

Hydrogel BCI wireless data transmission range exceeds 10 meters by April 30, 2026

Nov 17, 10:35 PMDec 16, 12:00 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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