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Prediction markets for Direct to Cell

[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.38%chance

195302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7655

4278

When will power transmission from orbit to surface be first demonstrated?

May 12, 9:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

223087

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2038

Before 2036

Before 2034

Before 2032

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

59

55

52

50

49

48

44

36

15

0

0

Will replacement eyes be on the market by 2050?

May 11, 9:49 AMDec 18, 11:59 PM

61.54%chance

451827

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

919

Prop Bet: Which individuals involved in the Epstein case will resign from their positions or be charged? (Add own)

Nov 23, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4836

OptionProbability

Option deleted. Don't vote!

Alan Dershowitz

Bill Clinton

Donald Trump

50

46

31

19

Will replacement eyes be available by 2050?

May 12, 8:50 AMDec 19, 11:59 PM

82.99%chance

13526

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

940

Will semaglutide be shown to cause thyroid cancer in humans at a nontrivial rate by 2027?

Nov 12, 11:34 PMNov 16, 7:59 AM

3%chance

1234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

284

9

Will Toyota stop selling hydrogen-powered cars like the Mirai by the end of 2030?

May 13, 9:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

66.34%chance

375

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

71

Starlink direct to cell to bypass state censorship by 2050

Feb 14, 1:04 AMJan 5, 10:59 AM

67.65%chance

445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

151

72

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

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