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Top stories

Microsoft to Confirm Forza Horizon 6 Japan Setting at Tokyo Game Show Next Month

Microsoft to Confirm Forza Horizon 6 Japan Setting at Tokyo Game Show Next Month

Authors

6

7 days ago

Yakuza Maker RGG Studio Sets Sept. 24 Summit Before Tokyo Game Show

Yakuza Maker RGG Studio Sets Sept. 24 Summit Before Tokyo Game Show

Authors

5

6 hours ago

Prediction markets for Direct

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25%chance

459335172

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2661

2602

Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Sep 12, 5:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.62%chance

151128693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20157

7484

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.61%chance

4125255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11494

9803

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

Aug 3, 3:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.82%chance

12711951

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2041

1476

Will WW3 directly cause over 1B civilian casualties?

Jan 3, 8:44 PMJan 10, 10:59 PM

26.01%chance

86380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9588

101

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Apr 9, 8:12 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

48.33%chance

926251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2800

1132

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 2:41 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

22.43%chance

193648

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2117

1093

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

52.36%chance

22432

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10483

9539

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Sep 16, 4:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.14%chance

381771

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1344

716

Will someone be able to play Super Smash Bros directly with the Neuralink as a controller by the end of 2034?

Mar 21, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.85%chance

18992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

634

Will U.S. 401(k) plans widely allow direct investment in cryptocurrencies by 2030?

May 27, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.02%chance

5882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1882

531

Can anti-cavity oral probiotics spread directly between people via mouth-to-mouth contact?

Nov 20, 2:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.85%chance

24684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1981

1970

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