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Prediction markets for Director

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

301639757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2690

2506

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.47%chance

188357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

944

888

Best Director winner? (2026 Oscars)

Jan 22, 2:12 PMMar 14, 11:59 PM

123050

OptionProbability

Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another

Ryan Coogler - Sinners

Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme

Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value

Chloé Zhao - Hamnet

83

13

1

1

1

Kash Patel remains FBI Director on June 30, 2026

Jul 12, 5:38 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

41.66%chance

201541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

845

Will the Louvre director be fired or resign by 2027?

Dec 11, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.21%chance

61539

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

958

Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.19%chance

15755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

970

Who will be the director of the most expensive movie made and released at the end of 2028, adjusted for inflation?

May 2, 5:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3154

OptionProbability

James Cameron

JJ Abrams

JA Bayona

Rob Marshall

Other

Joss Whedon

53

11

11

11

11

2

Spirit Awards: Best Director

Jan 23, 12:38 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

4144

OptionProbability

Ira Sachs - Peter Hujar’s Day

Clint Bentley - Train Dreams

Mary Bronstein - If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

Lloyd Lee Choi - Lucky Lu

Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby

30

23

17

17

14

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.25%chance

7105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

245

109

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [2 years bulk]

Apr 2, 9:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

486

OptionProbability

2046-2048

2044-2046

2030-2032

2032-2034

2034-2036

2036-2038

2038-2040

2040-2042

2042-2044

2048-2050

2026-2028

2028-2030

2050-2052

2052-2054

2054-2056

2024-2026

2056-2058

2058-2060

2060-2062

2062-2064

2064-2066

2066-2068

2068-2070

2070-2072

2072-2074

2074-2076

2076-2078

2078-2080

2080-2082

2082-2084

2084-2086

2086-2088

2088-2090

2090-2092

2092-2094

2094-2096

2096-2098

2098-2100

2100-2102

15

13

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will there be a first female director of the FBI before the NSA?

Apr 1, 5:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.83%chance

460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

155

Will the eventual Best Picture winner also win Best Director at the 2026 Oscars?

Jan 24, 2:40 AMMar 15, 11:59 PM

65%chance

236

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

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