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Prediction markets for Director

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.86%chance

328673400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2756

2354

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.47%chance

188357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

944

888

By when will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company?

Apr 1, 1:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

273354

OptionProbability

2100

2060

2050

2045

2040

2035

2030

79

78

70

65

43

18

12

Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?

Nov 25, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:58 PM

25%chance

482856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

83

Will Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 5, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.14%chance

171055

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

931

Will a film directed by a female director win the Academy Award for Best Director before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.15%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

71

Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026?

Aug 12, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:58 PM

20.62%chance

9256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177

68

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [10 years bulk]

Apr 2, 9:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6171

OptionProbability

2044-2054

2034-2044

2054-2064

2024-2034

2064-2074

2074-2084

2104-2110

2084-2094

2094-2104

29

23

19

14

5

4

3

2

2

Who will be the director of the most expensive movie made and released at the end of 2028, adjusted for inflation?

May 2, 5:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3154

OptionProbability

James Cameron

JJ Abrams

JA Bayona

Rob Marshall

Other

Joss Whedon

53

11

11

11

11

2

Will The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde?

Jul 13, 1:34 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

20.82%chance

6118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [2 years bulk]

Apr 2, 9:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

486

OptionProbability

2046-2048

2044-2046

2030-2032

2032-2034

2034-2036

2036-2038

2038-2040

2040-2042

2042-2044

2048-2050

2026-2028

2028-2030

2050-2052

2052-2054

2054-2056

2024-2026

2056-2058

2058-2060

2060-2062

2062-2064

2064-2066

2066-2068

2068-2070

2070-2072

2072-2074

2074-2076

2076-2078

2078-2080

2080-2082

2082-2084

2084-2086

2086-2088

2088-2090

2090-2092

2092-2094

2094-2096

2096-2098

2098-2100

2100-2102

15

13

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will there be a first female director of the FBI before the NSA?

Apr 1, 5:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.83%chance

460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

155

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