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Prediction markets for Disclaimer

🏁 F1 2025: Which Constructor Will Win The 2025 FIA F1 Constructors' Championship?

Nov 25, 6:41 PMNov 30, 1:00 PM

5863309

OptionProbability

McLaren

Red Bull Racing

Mercedes

Alpine

Aston Martin

Ferrari

Haas

Sauber

Visa Cash App Racing Bulls

Williams

97

3

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Bitcoin Reach $69,420 Before $128,700 ?

Nov 26, 9:52 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

17.07%chance

9744169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2371

250

🏁 F1 2025: Which Drivers Will Finish Top 3 For The 2025 FIA F1 Drivers' Championship?

Dec 9, 1:28 AMNov 30, 1:00 PM

5312116

OptionProbability

Lando Norris (McLaren)

Oscar Piastri (McLaren)

Max Verstappen (Red Bull)

Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)

Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)

Yuki Tsunoda (Previously Liam Lawson) (Red Bull)

George Russel (Mercedes)

Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)

Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)

Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)

Pierre Gasly (Alpine)

Jack Doohan (Alpine)

Alexander Albon (Williams)

Carlos Sainz Jr. (Williams)

Liam Lawson (Previously Yuki Tsunoda) (VCARB)

Isack Hadjar (VCARB)

Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber/Stake)

Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber/Stake)

Esteban Ocon (Haas)

Ollie Bearman (Haas)

32

32

28

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will we detect extraterrestrial intelligent life in the universe by 2124?

Nov 14, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.01%chance

847312

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1171

658

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.49%chance

716636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1742

1335

Will the Apple Vision Pro be worn in public in 2027?

Jun 6, 12:13 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

54.13%chance

795708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1957

1369

Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?

Jul 9, 9:59 PMJan 1, 5:51 PM

43.34%chance

211048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1143

875

Proof of stack market resolution

Dec 13, 7:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.37%chance

18888

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

100

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at any point by the end of 2025?

Jun 22, 6:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4%chance

12439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

490

20

My voice AI covertly acts as me in pharmacy calls by mid 2029

Jun 4, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

57%chance

9301

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

869

Will Chat GPT remove or hide their 'ai can make mistakes' disclaimer from website page at any point by the end of 2026?

Jan 2, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

6138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

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