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Prediction markets for Discover

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

8931904740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29074

10077

OpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?

Apr 2, 5:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.55%chance

14140343

OptionVotes

NO

YES

571

510

Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?

Sep 21, 9:08 PMDec 28, 11:59 PM

73.09%chance

10537099

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16481

6067

Will an LLM Agent discover a single significant contribution (+100 elo gain ) over the leading chess engine before 2028?

Nov 4, 5:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.64%chance

98202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17028

5873

Will we discover alien life before 2032?

Jan 9, 1:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.75%chance

626910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

943

Will we discover alien life before 2033?

Jan 12, 7:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

13.73%chance

474633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

678

Will we discover alien life before 2038?

Feb 10, 12:19 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

22%chance

374520

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

776

Will we discover alien life before 2034?

Jan 26, 10:57 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

12.79%chance

584293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

983

936

Will we discover alien life before 2039?

Feb 17, 2:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

25.21%chance

392800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

873

Will we discover alien life before 2036?

Feb 3, 6:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

19.61%chance

262102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

736

Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?

Jul 3, 7:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.79%chance

111151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.54%chance

331116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

939

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