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Prediction markets for DN

Will Gene McCarthy's DNA analysis of humans as bonobo/pig hybrids be confirmed by 2030?

Sep 7, 10:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.36%chance

4810748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3547

282

Will my Nucleus Genomics DNA test reveal me to be above 5% jewish?

Apr 24, 11:26 PMApr 24, 11:20 PM

34.73%chance

248263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13710

7294

DnD Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 1:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

443209

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1513

1293

Will data storage with DNA be in use by 2035?

Aug 25, 1:55 PMFeb 12, 11:59 PM

29.82%chance

412319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

851

Will we be able to clone a human being from a live sample of their DNA by 2040?

Jan 3, 6:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42%chance

421737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

973

967

Conditional on strong evidence of aliens being discovered, will they have DNA?

Sep 14, 4:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.16%chance

291134

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1108

932

Will it be conclusively shown (through some way) that slowing the aging rate of AI researchers down (eg interventions decreasing DNAm age) will increase their net output/productivity by 2029?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

13.95%chance

33939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1169

950

Will data storage with DNA be in use by 2031?

Aug 25, 10:17 AMJan 17, 11:59 PM

22.06%chance

22908

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

922

Will Vitalik Buterin have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?

Jan 3, 8:12 AMJan 1, 4:01 PM

71.13%chance

15721

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

958

Will Jose Luis Ricon have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?

Jan 3, 8:12 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

59.15%chance

11577

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

975

Will parents be able to store data in their children's DNA by 2070?

Aug 25, 8:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.04%chance

18486

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

963

Will the second ascentionist of Seb Bouin's DNA agree with the 9c grade?

Apr 14, 9:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

60.33%chance

9170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

281

243

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