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Prediction markets for Dog

Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate?

Mar 14, 8:19 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM

35.9%chance

18420415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

748

Will we be able to communicate with dogs in English, by 2030?

May 4, 3:13 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.59%chance

864323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2199

1113

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

Sep 13, 3:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.47%chance

152439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2657

111

Will a dog walk on Mars before the first baby is born on Mars?

Mar 27, 6:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.52%chance

391835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2184

1848

Will a dog walk on Mars before the end of 2060?

Mar 26, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.58%chance

271478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2269

1745

Will the FDA conditionally approve a drug to extend lifespan or healthspan in dogs before January 1, 2028?

Oct 1, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.13%chance

31124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1797

Will a dog walk on the moon before a human walks on Mars?

Mar 27, 12:02 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.73%chance

25538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2191

1923

Will a dog walk on the moon before a cat?

Apr 3, 5:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.79%chance

14224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

985

Will Costco still offer a $1.50 hot dog and soda combo at US locations in 2035?

Feb 22, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.79%chance

14211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1095

906

Will a dog get to the moon before a cat?

Apr 24, 3:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.6%chance

16201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

926

Does rapamyacin significantly increase the lifespan of dogs?

Dec 26, 3:41 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

69.61%chance

13183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

990

Will the TRIAD trial report that rapamycin significantly extended lifespan in dogs by December 31, 2031?

Oct 1, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.12%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2200

2009

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