Doge News

Will Elon Musk be federally indicted by Trump DOJ for his DOGE stint?

May 31, 7:06 PMJan 20, 8:02 PM

4.9%chance

143961

OptionVotes

YES

4406

227

Will Dogecoin ($DOGE) be adopted as legal tender in at least 1 country by 2027?

May 8, 7:35 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

3%chance

253443

OptionVotes

YES

3159

825

Will there be a 'DOGE Dividend' by the end of 2026?

Feb 18, 10:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.61%chance

373332

OptionVotes

YES

2394

130

Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) top $0.682 anytime before the end of 2028?

Nov 6, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.94%chance

111748

OptionVotes

YES

2485

401

Will DOGE moon by 2030?

Apr 23, 10:08 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.08%chance

12594

OptionVotes

YES

212

111

DOGE (Dept. of Govt. Efficiency) Meta Market

Mar 17, 4:08 AMJan 24, 10:59 AM

15532

OptionProbability

Elon Musk involvement cut short

5+ of lawsuits against DOGE dismissed

Will generally be perceived as a bad thing by mid 2026

Announces $500 billion in savings

50 lawsuits launched against DOGE

+20 cases against DOGE results in them being barred from / ordered to do something

DOGE Creation Executive Order Blocked / Overturned

Announces $1 trillion in savings

Finds fraud worth $100 billion

Price of Dogecoin (DOGE) at the end of 2028

Feb 11, 8:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6519

OptionProbability

Under 32.5 Cents

Over 32.5 Cents

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will DOGE be resurrected/replicated by 2030?

Nov 24, 7:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.12%chance

8195

OptionVotes

YES

206

Will any DOGE employee be tried for a work related crime?

Feb 6, 8:44 AMFeb 14, 7:59 AM

34.5%chance

10162

OptionVotes

YES

148

What is Elon's Motivation for Participating in DOGE?

Feb 12, 5:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13110

OptionProbability

Expand his political influence and connections in general

Remove regulations that affect his business interests

Strategic business opportunities through policy influence

Build a public profile as a government reformer

Reduce government bureaucracy and spending

Drive technological innovation in government operations

Target a specific person or a group of just a few people he dislikes

Promote his business interests with additional enforcement efforts rather than just reductions

Personal entertainment and meme culture participation

Support and promote Dogecoin cryptocurrency

Will "Meditations on Doge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 26, 4:59 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.82%chance

113

OptionVotes

YES

1013

998

Doge News

Prediction markets for Doge

Prediction markets for Doge

Prediction markets for Doge

Will Elon Musk be federally indicted by Trump DOJ for his DOGE stint?

Will Dogecoin ($DOGE) be adopted as legal tender in at least 1 country by 2027?

Will there be a 'DOGE Dividend' by the end of 2026?

Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) top $0.682 anytime before the end of 2028?

Will DOGE moon by 2030?

DOGE (Dept. of Govt. Efficiency) Meta Market

Price of Dogecoin (DOGE) at the end of 2028

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will DOGE be resurrected/replicated by 2030?

Will any DOGE employee be tried for a work related crime?

What is Elon's Motivation for Participating in DOGE?

Will "Meditations on Doge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories