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Prediction markets for Dollar Index

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

61165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

911

Will July 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 16, 2:16 AMAug 26, 12:25 PM

37%chance

9937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

73

Will a AAA single-player game use artificial intelligence for real-time story generation by the beginning of 2035?

Dec 6, 1:31 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

90.42%chance

16748

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1664

878

Will July 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 14, 8:16 PMAug 26, 12:25 PM

37.14%chance

8251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 18, 2:10 PMNov 4, 12:25 PM

48%chance

2153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Inflation: What is the ratio of a 2033 US dollar to a 2023 US dollar? (10x)

Aug 4, 4:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

55.93%chance

6102

OptionProbability

YES

NO

369

270

Will September 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 20, 9:17 AMNov 4, 12:25 PM

65%chance

289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

What will the Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) for the San Francisco metro be at its August release?

Jul 11, 4:54 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

585

OptionProbability

$4,125 – $4,175

< $4,025

$4,075 – $4,125

$4,175 – $4,225

> $4,225

$4,025 – $4,075

49

42

42

42

42

34

Will EFA out perform SPY in 2026?

Dec 28, 2:59 AMJan 2, 2:56 AM

54.75%chance

232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Generation Starship By 2150

Jul 4, 1:37 PMJul 31, 6:30 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5600

5600

What will Zillow’s typical San Francisco home value be for January 2028, in USD thousands?

Aug 8, 7:13 AMFeb 1, 5:00 AM

47%chance

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

995

995

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