Domination News
Prediction markets for Domination
What will be the dominant unit of economic power used by humans in 2040?
Nov 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
7039415
OptionProbability
56
32
24
8
7
7
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
2
2
Will World Model AIs start being used in games in early 2026 and quickly start dominating the Game Development industry?
Aug 5, 8:43 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
7.73%chance
208160
OptionVotes
3455
289
[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
Oct 13, 4:17 PMJul 2, 5:00 PM
73.18%chance
413662
OptionVotes
1181
828
Will transformers still be the dominant DL architecture in 2026?
Jan 13, 2:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
80.57%chance
242250
OptionVotes
1929
592
Will "most eSports be dominated by people with paralysis [by August 2034]"
Aug 4, 3:50 PMAug 11, 9:59 PM
11.98%chance
212150
OptionVotes
2711
369
Will pop-up shops become the dominant hub of offline commerce by 2026?
Jan 28, 4:27 AMFeb 4, 4:59 AM
7.41%chance
11910
OptionVotes
1800
877
Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?
Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
34.98%chance
14627
OptionVotes
1005
963
OptionVotes
1026
914
Will a company replace Google's dominant market position by 2028?
Sep 3, 12:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.25%chance
13518
OptionVotes
1102
951
By 2040, the dominant intelligence will be as different from modern humans as modern humans are from cro magnons
Feb 26, 1:39 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM
40.61%chance
16422
OptionVotes
1160
873
If AI becomes economically dominant will we see Universal Basic Income (UBI) become a reality shortly thereafter?
Sep 28, 9:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
38.01%chance
17375
OptionVotes
1022
950
Will "Explaining British Naval Dominance During the..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 18, 12:40 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
18.96%chance
252
OptionVotes
1052
732