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Prediction markets for Double or Nothing

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.17%chance

6062532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

56934

7037

9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

12.54%chance

353563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2641

379

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Jan 2, 10:55 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

31%chance

323291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

495

Will AI double the human lifespan within 10 years? (Before february 2035)

Feb 4, 3:32 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

25.53%chance

163075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1708

585

Will a Superbowl Game go to Double Overtime before the end of the 2030 Superbowl?

Feb 12, 3:07 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

9.49%chance

171423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2070

807

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

Feb 3, 8:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.66%chance

31922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

877

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition [Polymarket]

Sep 21, 2:32 AMJan 1, 3:31 AM

49.31%chance

10901

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

986

When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?

Aug 13, 5:03 PMAug 13, 9:59 PM

38.09%chance

15668

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1286

761

Will Russel Westbrook Reach 210 Triple-Doubles Before Retirement?

Jan 13, 1:54 PMJul 1, 2:59 PM

35.54%chance

3632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

743

Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?

Dec 13, 3:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

13.23%chance

13446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1169

944

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.89%chance

3230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4071

3711

Pickleball tournament uses variable paddle rules for mixed doubles

Oct 1, 6:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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