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Prediction markets for Double or Nothing

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

3.36%chance

5944351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

38965

7534

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Jan 2, 10:55 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

37%chance

322825

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1170

396

9. Robotaxi services will win double-digit market share in ride-hailing in at least 5 major U.S. cities.

Dec 27, 8:23 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

21.67%chance

302549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1901

526

Will AI double the human lifespan within 10 years? (Before february 2035)

Feb 4, 3:32 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

20.42%chance

142268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1974

507

Will a Superbowl Game go to Double Overtime before the end of the 2030 Superbowl?

Feb 12, 3:07 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

9.49%chance

171423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2070

807

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

Feb 3, 8:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.66%chance

31922

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

877

When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?

Aug 13, 5:03 PMAug 13, 9:59 PM

38.09%chance

15668

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1286

761

Will Russel Westbrook Reach 210 Triple-Doubles Before Retirement?

Jan 13, 1:54 PMJul 1, 2:59 PM

35.54%chance

3632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1347

743

Will Nothing Unanticipated Happen by November?

Jul 20, 4:16 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

47.96%chance

8493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3619

3387

Between 2023 and 2030, will revenue from deep learning double every two years?

Aug 8, 5:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.89%chance

3230

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4071

3711

Will Spanberger (or whoever ends up being the Dem nominee) win Virginia's gubernatorial race by double digits?

Apr 3, 7:41 AMNov 5, 11:59 PM

58.4%chance

5195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1185

844

Pickleball tournament uses variable paddle rules for mixed doubles

Oct 1, 6:15 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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