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Prediction markets for Draft

Will the US start conscription / a draft?

Apr 28, 9:25 PMFeb 1, 10:25 PM

10.89%chance

2834764

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28639

3499

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.81%chance

444733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3186

736

Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸

Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.52%chance

181854

OptionVotes

YES

NO

990

942

Will the draft be reinstated in the United States before 2030?

Dec 13, 2:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.07%chance

291644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

966

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Feb 27, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.08%chance

371631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

842

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

65.31%chance

141206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1376

671

[Let's Play] Minesweeper! [DRAFT MARKET BET AT YOUR RISK]

Jan 22, 9:29 AMOct 5, 6:59 AM

5432

OptionProbability

(6, 4)

(6, 7)

(6, 8)

(2, 8)

69

56

50

50

Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Democratic Primary Draft (Jan 2026 version)

Jan 29, 6:00 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

8226

OptionProbability

Nate Silver

Clare Malone

Galen Druke

59

21

20

Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?

Mar 13, 11:09 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

6.33%chance

5211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

788

Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Republican Primary Draft (Mar 2026 version)

Mar 10, 6:13 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

6139

OptionProbability

Galen Druke

Nate Silver

Clare Malone

50

25

25

Will the next military draft in the USA include women?

Sep 29, 1:51 AMOct 6, 3:59 AM

54.14%chance

592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

Will Croatia forcefully draft its citizens before 2060

Mar 11, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

86

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