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Prediction markets for Draft

Will the US start conscription / a draft?

Apr 28, 9:25 PMFeb 1, 10:25 PM

10.26%chance

2733748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29609

3385

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.9%chance

444683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3136

738

Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸

Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.59%chance

171504

OptionVotes

NO

YES

989

640

Will the draft be reinstated in the United States before 2030?

Dec 13, 2:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12%chance

281394

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

764

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Feb 27, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

85.98%chance

351386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1667

803

Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2030?

Oct 10, 9:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.54%chance

161016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

127

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

42.3%chance

12623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

876

Was the 2025 NBA draft lottery "rigged"?

May 19, 8:13 PMMay 20, 8:06 PM

9.1%chance

7301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

32

Will Nate Silver Win the "way too early 2028 Democratic Primary draft with Galen Druke"?

Apr 21, 6:36 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

51.34%chance

13200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Elon Musk drafted to work on a project for USGov any time through 2031

Sep 18, 6:17 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

12.39%chance

6198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

311

102

Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Republican Primary Draft (Mar 2026 version)

Mar 10, 6:13 PMSep 1, 12:00 AM

5109

OptionProbability

Clare Malone

Galen Druke

Nate Silver

42

40

18

Will these 2024 NBA Draft prospects make an All-Star team before 2030?

Jun 21, 11:33 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Alex Saar

Stephon Castle

Donovan Clingan

Matas Buzelis

Rob Dillingham

Reed Sheppard

50

50

50

50

37

37

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