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Prediction markets for Draft

Will the US start conscription / a draft?

Apr 28, 9:25 PMFeb 1, 10:25 PM

10%chance

1723976

OptionVotes

YES

NO

30000

3333

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.58%chance

414601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2803

757

Will an AI be able to generate industrial grade CAD parts by a prompt or an annotated draft before 2027 ?

Feb 27, 1:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

85.98%chance

351386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1667

803

Will the United States re-institute the draft by 2030? 🪖🇺🇸

Mar 4, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.2%chance

141344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1505

899

Will the draft be reinstated in the United States before 2030?

Dec 13, 2:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.24%chance

241225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

968

Who will win the 2028 Way-Too-Early Democratic Primary Draft on Silver Bulletin?

Apr 17, 4:50 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

10877

OptionProbability

Team Galen (AOC, Kamala, Pete…)

Team Nate (Shapiro, Booker, Gavin…)

51

49

Will the player selected #1 overall in the 2023 NFL draft sign a contract extension with the team who draft him?

Mar 11, 11:08 PMAug 11, 10:59 PM

42.3%chance

12623

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

876

Will Manifold create the functionality to create "drafts" of one's in-progress markets and posts?

Jan 8, 8:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.24%chance

16316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

975

Elon Musk drafted to work on a project for USGov any time through 2031

Sep 18, 6:17 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

12.39%chance

6198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

311

102

Will any team that drafts a quarterback in the first round of the Draft make the Playoffs in 2025?

Mar 18, 2:49 AMJan 25, 3:59 PM

32%chance

9164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Who will be the #1 pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Apr 13, 4:34 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

581

OptionProbability

AJ Dybantsa

Darryn Peterson

Other

Cameron Boozer

34

24

24

19

Which five teams will finish the 2025 season ranked 6-10 in the NFL draft?

May 13, 3:06 AMFeb 14, 12:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Las Vegas Raiders

Chicago Bears

New York Giants

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New York Jets

Tennessee Titans

New Orleans Saints

Jacksonville Jaguars

Carolina Panthers

Cleveland Browns

Dallas Cowboys

New England Patriots

66

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

34

34

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