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Prediction markets for Dragon
OptionProbability
2825
1978
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
52.32%chance
394093
OptionVotes
1048
955
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
70.91%chance
163619
OptionVotes
1561
641
A biological creature aesthetically recognizable as a dragon will exist on earth by 2060
Sep 27, 3:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
52.05%chance
303314
OptionVotes
1233
597
OptionProbability
877
86
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
79%chance
61726
OptionVotes
1940
516
OptionVotes
1402
902
Will the Komodo Dragon (Varanus komodoensis) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 7, 3:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
25.81%chance
6658
OptionVotes
893
195
Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?
Jan 26, 7:57 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM
69.04%chance
6610
OptionVotes
1493
670
Will a sixth edition of Dungeons & Dragons be released by the end of 2030?
Mar 24, 1:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69.72%chance
16308
OptionVotes
304
198
OptionVotes
167
84
OptionProbability
118
72