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Prediction markets for Drastic Measures

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (1% limit)

Jul 31, 5:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.52%chance

15519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

777

547

Will the US undergo Stagflation before the 2026 midterms?

May 4, 11:12 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

8354

OptionProbability

Inflation but no GDP abnormality

No abnormalities in inflation & GDP

Yes on Stagflation (high inflation & recession)

Recession but no inflation abnormality

High inflation and GDP growth

High GDP but no inflation abnormality

Deflation/low inflation and recession

Deflation/low inflation but no GDP abnormality

Deflation/low inflation & high GDP growth

23

23

18

17

6

4

4

3

3

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2% adjustment cap)

Jul 31, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.56%chance

10214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

841

579

Will NASA and the ESA still be collaboratively pursuing the LISA gravitational wave mission in 2028?

Jan 10, 5:39 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

87.24%chance

5154

OptionVotes

NO

YES

268

84

Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2/3's majority requirement)

Jul 31, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.52%chance

9110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

100

Will 2026 nickel production from PT Weda Bay Nickel exceed 12 million wet metric tonnes on December 31, 2027?

Mar 4, 3:04 PMDec 31, 3:04 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will 2026 nickel production from PT Weda Bay Nickel exceed 42 million wet metric tonnes on December 31, 2027?

Mar 4, 3:05 PMDec 31, 3:04 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will 2026 nickel production from PT Weda Bay Nickel exceed 24 million wet metric tonnes on December 31, 2027?

Mar 4, 3:04 PMDec 31, 3:04 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will 2026 nickel production from PT Weda Bay Nickel exceed 30 million wet metric tonnes on December 31, 2027?

Mar 4, 3:04 PMDec 31, 3:04 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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