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Draw News

Can Black force a draw in chess?

Nov 18, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

88.6%chance

313271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1523

825

Can Black force a draw without winning in chess?

May 22, 12:43 AMMay 11, 4:59 AM

63.06%chance

182423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

221

163

Can White force a draw without winning in chess?

May 22, 4:12 AMMay 11, 4:59 AM

82.78%chance

192175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1552

830

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

59.87%chance

10781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1224

822

1st Ashes Test 2025/26 Predictions

Aug 3, 9:37 AMNov 25, 11:59 PM

8552

OptionProbability

Australia Win

Australia Win Toss

Cummins 5fa

Australia Bowl First

Jofra 5fa

Game ends on day 5

Atkinson 5fa

Starc 5fa

Draw

Brook 100

Smith 100

Khawaja 100

Root 100

Winner by innings

Tie

66

66

55

50

34

34

34

34

24

24

24

24

23

8

1

AI that teaches you how to draw by 2035?

Sep 19, 6:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.77%chance

7521

OptionVotes

NO

YES

459

81

2025-26 Ashes Prediction

Jul 5, 9:36 AMJan 6, 11:59 PM

6254

OptionProbability

Jofra Archer plays at least one test

Harry Brook gets a ton

Sydney gets rain

Stokes isn’t captain for all the games

One test match has a winner by innings

Sydney is a Draw

Pat Cummins doesn’t play all 5 tests

Complaint about red Westpac Logo on Players Shirts

Someone announces retirement

Usman is dropped during the series

5 test debutants or more

4 test debutants or less

England doesn’t win a game

Someone gets concussed

Jamie Smith makes a ton

Aus Win 5-0

Jofra breaks someone’s bone

83

76

66

66

52

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

44

41

34

24

10

In chess, what is the shortest amount of moves black needs to make to force a draw?

Jun 19, 6:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5225

What's the best Pokemon?

May 19, 2:37 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9170

OptionProbability

Nidoking

Other

Pikachu but in the fat older drawings where it's like chonky not the new slimmed down version

Gyarados

Giratina Origin Form

Sylveon

Lucario

Ampharos

Rayquaza

polywhirl

Charmander

Bulbasaur

Greninja

Mimikyu

Volcarona

27

27

14

10

4

4

4

3

3

3

1

0

0

0

0

Liverpool vs Arsenal, at Anfield, on August 31st, 2025 to end in a DRAW?

Jul 27, 5:35 AMAug 31, 12:00 AM

26.23%chance

6144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168

60

How many white-to-move positions are required to prove this endgame a draw?

Aug 6, 12:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

274

OptionProbability

< 10^9

< 10^7

< 10^5

< 10^3

66

50

34

9

When will we have Ai that can draw diagrams to illustrate it's point.

Aug 27, 7:58 PMDec 31, 5:04 PM

40

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