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Maple Finance Hits $2 Billion syrupUSDC Deposits, Expands Yield via Pendle Market

4 months ago

Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

Apr 10, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

806436

OptionProbability

Sa Stock

Selena Stock

Alyssa Stock

Other

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Jan 10, 1:11 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

262000

OptionProbability

A day will be 24 hours, 39 minutes and 35.244 SI seconds long

Other

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using a "mars second" equal to 1.0275 SI seconds.

A day will be 24h×60m×60s where a "second" is a unit of angle rather than time, equal to 1/86400 of a revolution w.r.t the sun (i.e. the equivalent of Earth's UT1, this is called "Coordinated Mars Time")

A day will be 24h×60m×60s using SI seconds (and will drift with respect to mean solar time by ~40 minutes a day)

Time of day will be an incrementing number of SI seconds from 0 to 88775.244 (possibly rounded to an integer, with leap-seconds every 4 days or whatever, or no leap seconds and allowing it to drift)

Will we have at least ONE colony in space by 2050?

Dec 15, 9:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

69.95%chance

29902

OptionVotes

YES

1215

880

Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?

Aug 8, 1:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.5%chance

15628

OptionVotes

YES

1177

900

Record of the Year at the 2026 Grammys?

Dec 1, 11:02 AMFeb 4, 5:59 AM

4425

OptionProbability

Luther - Kendrick Lamar with SZA

APT. - ROSÉ & Bruno Mars

Wildflower- Billie Eilish

Abracadabra - Lady Gaga

Anxiety - Doechii

Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter

DtMF - Bad Bunny

The Subway - Chappell Roan

Billie Eilish releases a #1 Billboard album in 2026?

Oct 27, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.2%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

136

By what date will encoded reasoning via linguistic drift be demonstrated in a SOTA reasoning model?

Oct 10, 11:10 AMJan 1, 12:04 PM

2135

OptionProbability

01.01.2030

01.07.2029

01.01.2029

01.07.2028

01.01.2028

01.07.2027

01.01.2027

01.07.2026

01.01.2026

Chappell Roan scores Billboard #1 single in 2026?

Oct 20, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Dec 2, 6:07 AMDec 31, 11:58 PM

71.91%chance

560

OptionVotes

YES

160

Charli XCX scores a billboard #1 single in 2026?

Nov 3, 11:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.35%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

119

Best New Artist at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Nov 17, 11:03 AMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

225

OptionProbability

Olivia Dean

Addison Rae

Katseye

The Marias

Sombr

Leon Thomas

Alex Warren

Lola Young

Taylor Swift has a Billboard #1 single in 2026?

Nov 24, 10:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.38%chance

OptionVotes

YES

107

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Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

What civil time system will be used on Mars?

Will we have at least ONE colony in space by 2050?

Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?

Record of the Year at the 2026 Grammys?

Billie Eilish releases a #1 Billboard album in 2026?

By what date will encoded reasoning via linguistic drift be demonstrated in a SOTA reasoning model?

Chappell Roan scores Billboard #1 single in 2026?

Will "Zootopia 3" be released by the end of 2030?

Charli XCX scores a billboard #1 single in 2026?

Best New Artist at the 2026 Grammy Awards?

Taylor Swift has a Billboard #1 single in 2026?

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