Drift News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Drift
OptionProbability
80
12
7
2
OptionProbability
48
45
41
40
25
22
18
17
17
17
17
10
OptionProbability
49
30
10
6
3
1
Will a movie released in 2026 gross over 1 billion dollars?
Mar 9, 10:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
98.08%chance
121326
OptionVotes
714
14
Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?
Aug 8, 1:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
22.39%chance
16948
OptionVotes
1497
789
OptionVotes
1215
880
By what date will encoded reasoning via linguistic drift be demonstrated in a SOTA reasoning model?
Oct 10, 11:10 AMJan 1, 12:04 PM
2215
OptionProbability
79
76
73
63
58
53
48
43
0
OptionProbability
73
55
50
45
40
35
30
30
25
20
Will Kendrick Lamar have a Billboard number 1 single in 2026?
Jan 5, 4:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
41.1%chance
477
OptionVotes
231
174
OptionVotes
210
191
OptionVotes
242
170
OptionVotes
203
197


