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Prediction markets for DROP

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

70%chance

227113753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1528

655

Will TSLA drop below $200 a share in 2025?

Feb 21, 9:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

25.17%chance

25283238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1724

580

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

80%chance

4624367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3882

2007

When will the human population drop below 1 billion

Jun 29, 2:26 PMJan 1, 1:59 PM

7012271

OptionProbability

After 2100

Never

2040s

2030s

2050s

2020s

2060s

2070s

2080s

2090s

76

5

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.07%chance

2711096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2699

371

In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?

Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

27.54%chance

889591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1834

449

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.93%chance

208398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17074

8778

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.84%chance

363566

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

1096

Will I drop out of college?

Jan 18, 2:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

40.15%chance

262326

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

564

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

58.35%chance

441723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1113

786

Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?

Jan 10, 11:14 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

65.1%chance

381429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

900

Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?

Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

11440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

982

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