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Prediction markets for DROP

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

67%chance

238127508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

702

Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.65%chance

3469316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

57509

6569

Will Bitcoin drop below 50k before it reaches 200k?

Nov 22, 8:38 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

46%chance

4343915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

923

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

80%chance

4625903

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3882

2007

When will the human population drop below 1 billion

Jun 29, 2:26 PMJan 1, 1:59 PM

7112646

OptionProbability

After 2100

Never

2040s

2030s

2050s

2020s

2060s

2070s

2080s

2090s

75

7

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?

Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.03%chance

2811146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2378

421

In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?

Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM

15.62%chance

9310701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2431

290

If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?

Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.54%chance

383621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

1097

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

56.73%chance

441748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

752

Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?

Jan 10, 11:14 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

64.68%chance

391435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

889

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show a[n implied] drop in Gen Alpha afab non-cis rates, from 2025, in 2035?

Nov 18, 5:06 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

54.53%chance

4105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

913

When will the next pop diva drop a surprise gay anthem?

Aug 18, 5:27 PMDec 31, 6:24 PM

00

OptionProbability

Within 3 months

This year

During Pride

Other

25

25

25

25

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