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Prediction markets for Drops and Editions

Will Bitcoin be carbon-neutral by 2030?

Jul 5, 7:56 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

13.93%chance

223199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2485

402

When will IMDb's top 10 films stably include a different movie (starting 4/2024)?

Apr 9, 12:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71182

OptionProbability

2029 or before

2028 or before

2027 or before

2026 or before

2024

2025 or before

61

56

41

29

0

0

Will the S&P 500 index close below 4,800 points on any trading day between June 22 and July 10, 2026?

Jun 22, 2:15 AMJul 11, 3:59 AM

1.25%chance

131111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

890

11

Will the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?

May 8, 3:47 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13%chance

9380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

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