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Prediction markets for Due Diligence

Will I ever get to see the Donald Trump "piss tape", as alluded to by the 2017 Steele Dossier?

Sep 15, 5:23 AMSep 12, 3:59 AM

10%chance

284432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2982

405

Will investment banks be impacted significantly due to the ease of creating custom software tools using AI by 2030?

Jun 25, 1:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.72%chance

7167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

286

120

Will investment banks be impacted significantly due to the ease of creating custom software tools using AI?

Jun 25, 12:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3105

OptionProbability

Yes, between 2026 to end of 2030

Yes, between 2031 to end of 2035

Yes, before end of 2025

Not before end of 2035

40

29

23

8

Illegal Agent-like LLM which automatically serves up links to copyrighted texts available by mid 2026

Feb 17, 7:42 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

29.39%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

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