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Prediction markets for Duo

Who will takeover as permanent host of The Daily Show? (Free response)

Oct 10, 1:03 AMDec 31, 8:01 PM

425499

OptionProbability

Desi Lydic

Josh Johnson

Other

Stephen Colbert

None (show is canceled or rebranded)

Error

Ronny Chieng

Hassan Minhaj

Jon Stewart

Jordan Klepper

Mikey Day

Al Franken

The Good Liars (Jason Selvig and Davram Stiefler)

Tony Zaret

40

30

9

8

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Tim + Bashu (Intrusive Thoughts) stock

Feb 11, 5:40 AM

264369

OptionProbability

NO

YES

548

408

What are some of the best educational games?

Sep 8, 3:43 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

351553

OptionProbability

Europa Universalis IV

Turing Complete

Other

Sine Rider

Factorio

Democracy 3

Civilization VI

Terraforming Mars

Poly Bridge

Epistory

Duo Lingo

Pharaoh

SHENZHEN I/O

The Forgotten City

ANTE

Silicon Zeroes

Victoria II

Magic the Gathering

Zendo

Jahooma's logic box

Murder, she bet

Captain of Industry

Hackmud

Cool Math Games

Plague Inc: Evolved

Age of Empires II

Airport CEO

Kerbal Space Program

Chess

Cellcraft

Imperivm: Great Battles of Rome

Untrusted

Cinco Paus

We Become What We Behold

http://robozzle.com/

https://logicbox.jahooma.com/

https://lab.quantumflytrap.com/

https://www.decisionproblem.com/paperclips/index2.html

The Battle of Polytopia

29

18

18

11

9

4

3

3

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Duo, the Duolingo Owl mascot, officially returns by August 14, 2025

Feb 17, 5:24 AMAug 14, 12:00 AM

98.67%chance

151306

OptionVotes

NO

YES

861

12

Will Xi Jinping ever be Time Person of the Year?

Aug 22, 10:56 PMAug 23, 3:59 AM

30.47%chance

16613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

883

LeBron retires before 2026 NBA season?

Jun 15, 10:10 AMOct 20, 10:59 PM

5%chance

11500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will duolingo still be the most popular language learning app at the end of 2026?

Jan 11, 1:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.07%chance

11350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

484

60

Will the Duolingo owl 'die' again before the end of 2028?

May 24, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.78%chance

13210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Any company from AIM's Founding to Give's first batch get into YC before EOY 2027?

Mar 15, 11:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.29%chance

5145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

196

97

Will a Chinese Airliner Break the Airbus/Boeing Duopoly Before 2030?

Dec 26, 8:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.74%chance

7110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

31

Any company from AIM's Founding to Give's first batch lead to an exit with donations >$1M before EOY 2036?

Mar 15, 11:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.58%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

135

107

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