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Prediction markets for Dying

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

Jul 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.06%chance

230167258

OptionProbability

YES

NO

5059

4362

When will Joe Biden die?

Oct 15, 12:32 PMNov 11, 10:00 PM

33674835

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027-2029

2026

Nov 6, 2024 to 2025

Before 2024

Before the 2024 US presidential election

In 2024, but after the US presidential election

51

29

10

9

1

0

0

Trump dies in office during his 2nd term?

Jun 2, 11:07 PMJan 20, 11:44 PM

18%chance

20347942

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2134

469

Someone dies wearing Apple Vision Pro

Jan 23, 3:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.04%chance

24543082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2431

847

Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?

Jul 27, 7:08 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.5%chance

12229978

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1019

947

How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2026?

Jun 2, 8:04 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

1423011

OptionProbability

>= 100

>= 200

>= 300

>= 500

>= 800

>= 1300

>= 2100

95

93

89

79

60

27

12

How many people will die of extreme heat in Arizona in 2033?

May 31, 4:36 AMJul 2, 5:59 AM

1022890

OptionProbability

>= 300

>= 500

>= 800

>= 1300

>= 2100

>= 3400

>= 5500

>= 8900

75

63

51

39

21

11

8

4

If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?

Jul 11, 5:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.01%chance

488728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3302

2266

Will the next president die while in office?

Aug 2, 5:44 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

18%chance

344519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

938

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Dec 15, 6:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.3%chance

453028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

912

How old will I be when I die?

Mar 18, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.97%chance

27746

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1021

822

Will a person die on the moon before the end of 2050?

Mar 26, 5:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

57.6%chance

28604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

1962

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