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Prediction markets for Dynamic Effect

If a mundane explanation for the phenomena thought to be due to dark matter is found, what will it be?

Apr 20, 8:18 PMApr 27, 9:59 PM

372332

OptionProbability

Primordial asteroid sized black holes

Axions

Other

Unexpected GR solutions

Weird effects in N-body dynamics

Something related to Shape Dynamics

Something related to stellar physics

Large scale electromagnetic fields

Instrumental errors in observations

44

28

27

26

26

17

16

12

6

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1629

626

Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2026?

May 3, 6:29 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

30.73%chance

141142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will Kemi Badenoch be Leader of the Conservative Party On May 1st 2027?

May 3, 6:34 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

25.2%chance

6213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

Jan 5, 11:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.34%chance

399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

49

When will bioelectricity be used for organ or tissue regeneration?

Nov 19, 7:31 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

231

OptionProbability

Before 2050

Before 2040

Before 2030

61

44

32

Taxation of rental income (through income tax) is replaced $ for $ with property tax. Rental prices for tenants go:

Sep 14, 2:40 PM

10

Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?

Apr 7, 12:55 PM

310

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

240

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