Ear News

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

433111801577

OptionVotes

YES

26182

17789

By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?

May 15, 1:19 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

75%chance

18253982

OptionVotes

YES

2063

1170

If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?

Feb 27, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.7%chance

14336408

OptionVotes

YES

5405

1263

Mana Shop - What digital goods will it contain in 2026?

Jan 15, 7:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3526855

OptionProbability

“Manifold pro” or similar status w perks

Profile hats

Profile pic borders

Profile Hovercard borders

Leverage (loan) rate increases

Bonus streak forgiveness / freezes

Coolfold's Jester hat

Top hat

Crystal ball icon on pfp

Wizard hat

Cat ears

Stonks arrow (over pfp)

Monocle

Halo

Devil horns

Bull/Bear horns/ears

Cosmetic badges

Some kind of Whale design on pfp, or on hovercard, gated behind 1m all-time volume

Consumable market decorations

Additional site themes

A unique hat that can only be owned by one person but can be stolen

Fire-themed hovercard (requires Streak >100days to buy)

Profile page layout customization

Spoiler mode (hide current probabilities)

trader bonus multiplier

MtG mana color symbols

Create a clan / community / group

Consumable item that lets you highlight a comment

Custom league cohort packs for inviting friends to compete

Extra predictle sets

Access to detailed Predictle stats (eg of past games, or of other players' performance)

Boost discounts (limited purchase, e.g. 2/ mo)

Discord perks

Mod queue priority status

100

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70.89%chance

17425268

OptionVotes

YES

11948

9070

Cat girl ears by end of 2029?

Dec 11, 2:21 AMNov 23, 12:35 PM

23.33%chance

8013486

OptionVotes

YES

1072

893

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.49%chance

2513090

OptionVotes

YES

13201

7571

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

Apr 7, 2:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6%chance

315805

OptionVotes

YES

3000

734

Pony ears for humans before 2035?

Dec 16, 1:40 AMDec 21, 12:38 PM

37.31%chance

17639

OptionVotes

YES

1076

825

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

13402

OptionVotes

YES

What is the most sensitive part of the human body?

May 15, 7:12 AMJun 9, 11:09 AM

10303

OptionProbability

Other

Fingers

Eyes

Nose

Ears

Heart

Will Bears Ears National Monument shrink again during Trump2 admin?

Jul 4, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.63%chance

448

OptionVotes

YES

105

Ear News

Prediction markets for Ear

Prediction markets for Ear

Prediction markets for Ear

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

By 2030, will an organisation be manufacturing products in Earth orbit?

If AI wipes out humanity will everyone on Earth fall over dead in the same second?

Mana Shop - What digital goods will it contain in 2026?

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Cat girl ears by end of 2029?

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Will AI wipe out all biological life on Earth before 2100?

Pony ears for humans before 2035?

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

What is the most sensitive part of the human body?

Will Bears Ears National Monument shrink again during Trump2 admin?

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