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Will the relative earnings of college graduates decrease by 2030?

Feb 8, 5:29 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

60.76%chance

393841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5933

3415

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

6.39%chance

72644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4431

11

Which restaurants will earn a MICHELIN star in the inaugural South Australia guide? (+Props)

Jun 12, 12:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82243

OptionProbability

Restaurant Botanic

At least one restaurant in the Barossa Valley gets a star

Penfolds Magill Estate Restaurant

Hardy's Verandah Restaurant

At least one restaurant on Kangaroo Island gets a star

Maggie Beer’s Farm Shop Eatery

Hentley Farm (Seppeltsfield)

Anvers Wines (Kangarilla)

Appellation at The Louise

LVN restaurant (Bird in Hand / Woodside)

Sunset Food and Wine (Kangaroo Island)

Restaurant Botanic receives 2+ stars

Maxwell Restaurant (McLaren Vale)

Arkhé

Fino (Seppeltsfield)

Africola

d'Arry's Verandah Restaurant (d'Arenberg, McLaren Vale)

Two or more restaurants receive 2+ stars

84

76

55

52

50

50

37

36

34

31

31

25

24

22

20

14

10

3

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?

Oct 22, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92.73%chance

171890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

836

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

When will a single-unit GPU with 80GB of VRAM cost less to buy than the average American's weekly earnings?

Apr 23, 2:44 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

18961

OptionProbability

2036-2040

2030

2031-2035

2029

2041 or later/Never

2028

2027

2026

2024

2025

72

71

71

61

54

53

41

15

0

0

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?(inflation adjusted)

Oct 22, 1:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.32%chance

16890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1520

866

Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?

Sep 21, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.42%chance

11590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will Jared Duker Lichtman earn a Fields Medal before 2034?

Nov 16, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.55%chance

5381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

458

22

Will Rivian R2 earn IIHS Top Safety Pick+?

Apr 22, 10:03 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

37.21%chance

4333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

770

Will "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend

Jul 14, 11:55 AMOct 5, 11:59 PM

48.1%chance

15292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

70

Will the EARN IT act be passed in the US by 2030?

Apr 22, 11:25 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

24.57%chance

12241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

904

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