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Prediction markets for Earn

Will I earn at least $25 per hour grading USA(J)MO?

Apr 3, 6:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

98.55%chance

2918868

OptionVotes

NO

YES

823

12

Will the relative earnings of college graduates decrease by 2030?

Feb 8, 5:29 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

61.5%chance

393791

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5883

3494

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

6.39%chance

72644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4431

11

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?

Oct 22, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92.73%chance

171890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

836

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?(inflation adjusted)

Oct 22, 1:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

15831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1530

864

Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?

Sep 21, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.42%chance

11590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will "The Odyssey" earn more than $120M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend?

May 25, 9:21 AMJul 28, 9:20 AM

23%chance

15288

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

73

Will Rivian R2 earn IIHS Top Safety Pick+?

Apr 22, 10:03 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

39.06%chance

4283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Will the EARN IT act be passed in the US by 2030?

Apr 22, 11:25 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

24.57%chance

12241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

904

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" earn more than $230M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening we

Jun 22, 9:12 AMAug 4, 11:59 PM

47.04%chance

8198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

72

Will Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?

Jun 15, 4:46 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

62.66%chance

535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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