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Prediction markets for Earn

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" earns more than $170M in domestic gross earnings during their second weekend?

Aug 5, 12:27 PMAug 11, 5:00 PM

3.16%chance

268082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5536

181

Will the relative earnings of college graduates decrease by 2030?

Feb 8, 5:29 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

60.76%chance

393841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5933

3415

How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?

Sep 28, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42960

OptionProbability

>= 40 billion

>= 35 billion < 40 billion

>= 30 billion < 35 billion

>= 25 billion < 30 billion

>= 10 billion < 15 billion

>= 15 billion < 20 billion

>= 20 billion < 25 billion

< 10 billion

37

15

13

9

7

7

7

4

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

6.39%chance

72644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4431

11

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?

Oct 22, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92.73%chance

171890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

836

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?(inflation adjusted)

Oct 22, 1:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.32%chance

16890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1520

866

When will a single-unit GPU with 80GB of VRAM cost less to buy than the average American's weekly earnings?

Apr 23, 2:44 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

14613

OptionProbability

2036-2040

2030

2031-2035

2028

2029

2027

2041 or later/Never

2026

2025

2024

72

71

71

69

68

66

54

34

24

10

Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?

Sep 21, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.42%chance

11590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will Rivian R2 earn IIHS Top Safety Pick+?

Apr 22, 10:03 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

37.21%chance

4333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

770

Will the EARN IT act be passed in the US by 2030?

Apr 22, 11:25 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

24.57%chance

12241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

904

How much money will I earn in 2026?

Oct 26, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

361

OptionProbability

10000$-100000$

0$-1000$

100000$+

1000$-10000$

66

13

12

10

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