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Prediction markets for Earn

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.23%chance

62299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4086

101

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?

Oct 22, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92.73%chance

171890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

836

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

Will the "Dead by April" AI agent earn a net profit by April 3, 2026?

Mar 20, 2:05 AMApr 3, 12:00 AM

16.47%chance

201244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

72

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?(inflation adjusted)

Oct 22, 1:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

15831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1530

864

Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?

Sep 21, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.42%chance

11590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will Jared Duker Lichtman earn a Fields Medal before 2034?

Nov 16, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.88%chance

5380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

441

23

Will the EARN IT act be passed in the US by 2030?

Apr 22, 11:25 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

24.57%chance

12241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

904

Through September 2026, will Spider-Man 4 out-earn the combined domestic box office of Toy Story 5 and Scream 7?

Jan 12, 12:57 AMOct 2, 11:59 PM

72%chance

7215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

160

62

76ers earn top-6 playoff seed in 2025-26 season?

Sep 1, 8:19 PMApr 25, 11:59 PM

21.03%chance

7177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

Will women aged 16 to 24 earn at least 10% more than men in the same age bracket by 2027-8?

Mar 9, 8:18 PMMar 16, 10:59 PM

47.71%chance

757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

96

Will the gender pay gap in weekly real earnings close to within 5% before 2035

Mar 14, 4:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.77%chance

346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

66

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