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Prediction markets for Earnings

Will the relative earnings of college graduates decrease by 2030?

Feb 8, 5:29 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

60.76%chance

393841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5933

3415

How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?

Sep 28, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42960

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

6.39%chance

72644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4431

11

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?

Oct 22, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

92.73%chance

171890

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2198

836

By 2028, there will exist an obvious place where digital nomads can earn a living by producing alignment data for AI.

Feb 17, 10:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.5%chance

121396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2032

492

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 earn more money in 24 hours than GTA 5?(inflation adjusted)

Oct 22, 1:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

15831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1530

864

Before 2040, will an entirely AI-generated film earn a 5/10 or better on IMDB?

Sep 21, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.42%chance

11590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will Jared Duker Lichtman earn a Fields Medal before 2034?

Nov 16, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.88%chance

5380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

441

23

Will Rivian R2 earn IIHS Top Safety Pick+?

Apr 22, 10:03 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

37.21%chance

4333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1299

770

Will the EARN IT act be passed in the US by 2030?

Apr 22, 11:25 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

24.57%chance

12241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

904

Will June 2026 U.S. average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 7, 7:16 PMJul 2, 12:25 PM

60.73%chance

6137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

90

Will women aged 16 to 24 earn at least 10% more than men in the same age bracket by 2027-8?

Mar 9, 8:18 PMMar 16, 10:59 PM

47.71%chance

757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

96

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