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Earth science News

Sean Duffy: NASA Plans Moon Base Under Trump Administration, Faces Astrophysics Turnover and Shifts From Earth Science

Sean Duffy: NASA Plans Moon Base Under Trump Administration, Faces Astrophysics Turnover and Shifts From Earth Science

8

1 year ago

Will a spacecraft capable of propulsion above 1% the speed of light be achieved before 2040?

Mar 17, 1:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31%chance

231971

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

270

Will the first sign of extraterrestrial intelligence be identified as an artificial intelligence by 2030?

Dec 28, 9:26 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

10.42%chance

211195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1508

900

Will the "Destruction of a Nuclear Bomb Using Ultra-High Energy Neutrino Beam" occur before 2034?

Feb 6, 12:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.84%chance

191016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1279

957

At what temperature anomaly will global warming peak before the Earth starts cooling again?

Oct 15, 7:38 AMOct 22, 9:59 PM

4561

OptionProbability

2.2 degrees Celsius

1.9 degrees Celsius

2.0 degrees Celsius

2.1 degrees Celsius

3.0 degrees Celsius

1.4 degrees Celsius

1.5 degrees Celsius

1.6 degrees Celsius

1.7 degrees Celsius

1.8 degrees Celsius

2.3 degrees Celsius

2.4 degrees Celsius

2.5 degrees Celsius

2.6 degrees Celsius

2.9 degrees Celsius

3.1 degrees Celsius

3.2 degrees Celsius

3.3 degrees Celsius

3.4 degrees Celsius

3.5 degrees Celsius

3.6 degrees Celsius

3.7 degrees Celsius

3.8 degrees Celsius

3.9 degrees Celsius

4.0 degrees Celsius

More than 4 degrees Celsius

Other

8

5

5

5

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will ESA’s Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission to detect gravitational waves launch in 2035 as planned?

Jan 28, 10:16 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

38.27%chance

18455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

940

Will Andy Weir’s next novel take place in space?

Apr 6, 1:19 AMApr 6, 1:18 AM

37.27%chance

16408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

149

Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?

Sep 23, 12:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35%chance

6110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

91

Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 discover significant amounts of rare earth elements?

May 7, 4:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

44.32%chance

7103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

Will Tapio Schneider win the Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal by EOY2045?

Apr 18, 7:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will ACDC (https://www.uib.no/en/rs/acdc/174760/acdc-2025) still run by 2040?

Apr 18, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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