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Top stories

Ugandan Opposition Questions US Deportation Deal Over Lack of Parliamentary Approval and Political Pressure in East African Nation

US Foreign Policy

Ugandan Opposition Questions US Deportation Deal Over Lack of Parliamentary Approval and Political Pressure in East African Nation

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for East African

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Apr 24, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

352317

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Other

Somaliland

Kosovo

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Kurdistan

East African Federation

Palestine

Taiwan

Greenland

Scotland

Catalonia

Holy See / Vatican City

Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic

Transnistria

26

22

15

8

6

5

5

4

4

2

1

1

0

0

0

What will be the next UN Member state?

Jul 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

311542

OptionProbability

No new members

Bougainville

Somaliland

Palestine

Other

New Caledonia

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Quebec

Kosovo

Scotland

East African Federation

Siberia

Tatarstan

Western Sahara

Catalonia

Puerto Rico

Taiwan

Abkhazia

Northern Cyprus

Wales

Northern Ireland

South Ossetia

Transnistria

Nagorno-Karabakh

Crimea

Basque Country

Russia

Korea

Vatican City

Greenland

34

28

14

7

6

5

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the East African Federation be a member of the UN before 2030?

Oct 20, 1:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.87%chance

41179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

30

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

63

18

11

9

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

40%chance

16783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

531

Will East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) be in operation until December 31st 2025?

Oct 11, 11:41 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

2.41%chance

3412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

8

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.64%chance

14391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

945

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Dec 26, 5:44 AMJan 1, 2:00 PM

49.68%chance

16262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

941

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