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Top stories

Ugandan Opposition Questions US Deportation Deal Over Lack of Parliamentary Approval and Political Pressure in East African Nation

US Foreign Policy

Ugandan Opposition Questions US Deportation Deal Over Lack of Parliamentary Approval and Political Pressure in East African Nation

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for East African

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Apr 24, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

413502

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Somaliland

Biafra

Other

Kosovo

Aden (under any name such as South Yemen)

East African Federation

Palestine

Kurdistan

Taiwan

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Greenland

Scotland

Catalonia

Holy See / Vatican City

Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic

Transnistria

27

16

14

14

7

5

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

What will be the next UN Member state?

Jul 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

361798

OptionProbability

No new members

Bougainville

Other

Somaliland

Transnistria

Palestine

South Ossetia

Biafra

Nagorno-Karabakh

Catalonia

Puerto Rico

Taiwan

New Caledonia

Kosovo

Northern Cyprus

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Greenland

Quebec

Scotland

East African Federation

Siberia

Tatarstan

Western Sahara

Abkhazia

Wales

Northern Ireland

Crimea

Basque Country

Russia

Korea

Vatican City

34

21

7

5

5

4

4

4

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

63

18

11

9

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

43.43%chance

17833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

581

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.51%chance

15401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

902

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Dec 26, 5:44 AMJan 1, 2:00 PM

47.24%chance

17312

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

991

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