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Prediction markets for Easter

Taylor Swift residency at Las Vegas Sphere announced before Easter 2026?

Aug 24, 1:45 PMApr 4, 11:59 PM

3.26%chance

64450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5450

183

Conditional on a new Half-Life game being announced before 2026, what will be true of it? [Add Answers!]

Nov 17, 3:08 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

182711

OptionProbability

PC and/or Steam hardware exclusive at launch

Generally a sequel to the events of HL2

VR supported at launch

Has a portal Easter Egg

Released before April 2026

Called Half-Life 3

Ends in a way suggesting further games in the future

Costs >$61 USD for base game

Has multiplayer of any kind

VR only at launch

SteamOS and/or Linux exclusive at launch

Steam hardware exclusive at launch

94

88

86

82

69

64

53

51

32

8

8

4

Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030

Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

14.48%chance

122330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2430

411

Will @Tumbles place a bet before Easter 2026? [read description]

May 4, 5:01 PMApr 5, 4:59 AM

8.55%chance

162021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

327

31

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

30.16%chance

5896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1522

657

Will microplastics become an easter egg/feature in any video game (eg a sims clone) by EOY2029?

Sep 21, 5:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

1636

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) become extinct in the current century?

Feb 21, 11:25 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

37.08%chance

12422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

807

238

What will be the next NBA team to be added to the Eastern Conference?

Sep 20, 1:51 PMSep 28, 3:59 AM

6364

OptionProbability

Memphis Grizzlies

Minnesota Timberwolves

An expansion team

Other

New Orleans Pelicans

28

22

20

16

14

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

13353

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

907

Easter Bunny stock

Apr 10, 5:36 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

15169

OptionProbability

NO

YES

288

246

Will there be at least 100MW of operational geothermal capacity in the eastern united states by 2034?

Nov 1, 6:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.94%chance

3150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1150

870

By 2026, will a popular video game company announce the use of AI-based steganography to hide Easter eggs?

May 19, 3:33 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

40.36%chance

973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

180

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