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Prediction markets for Eastern European

Will the "Sky Shield" proposal and European fighter jets over Ukraine become reality in 2025?

Mar 6, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.22%chance

141399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

939

184

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

30.16%chance

5896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1522

657

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8715

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Alaska

Other

Finland

Lithuania

Latvia

51

26

7

7

4

2

2

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026? [Polymarket]

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.34%chance

11361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1076

929

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Which musicians/ensembles will be featured in the Grand Theft Auto VI soundtrack at release?

Dec 7, 8:19 AMMay 26, 6:59 AM

8183

OptionProbability

Tom Petty

Denzel Curry

Bad Bunny

Snoop Dogg

Hall & Oates

The Weeknd

Rick Ross

The Pointer Sisters

Michael Jackson

Rihanna

Woody Jackson

Jan Hammer

T-Pain

Eminem

Dr. Dre

Wang Chung

Zenglen

Tammy Wynette

Joan Jett

KNOWER

Steve Miller Band

81

75

70

70

66

66

66

66

62

62

59

59

59

59

59

59

59

59

59

50

50

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

1041

What songs will appear on the radio in Grand Theft Auto VI at release?

Dec 7, 7:10 AMMay 26, 6:59 AM

260

OptionProbability

Love Is A Long Road - Tom Petty

Turn Red - M Dot R

Gospel - Dr. Dre

Everybody Have Fun Tonight - Wang Chung

Talkin' to Myself Again - Tammy Wynette

Hot Together - The Pointer Sisters

Take the Money and Run - Steve Miller Band

Child Support - Zenglen

I Love Rock 'n' Roll - Joan Jett & the Blackhearts

Love the Way You Lie - Eminem

74

59

59

59

59

59

50

41

41

36

Which Regional Group will the next UN Secretary-General come from?

Apr 4, 3:36 AMJan 2, 3:59 PM

115

OptionProbability

Latin American and Carribbean

African

Western European and Others

Eastern European

Asian and the Pacific

31

24

15

15

15

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