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Prediction markets for eBook
Prediction markets for eBook
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
Jun 25, 10:35 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26.63%
chance
13
2448
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1979
1145
Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.
Jun 18, 7:52 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
67.44%
chance
23
1465
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1439
695
By 2030 will more people regularly consume visual novels than conventional novels (paper and ebook)?
Feb 22, 9:40 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
12.42%
chance
18
869
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1074
960
If the United States has another civil war before 2031, will Andrew Hussie publish a book of his early works?
Apr 23, 7:18 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.1%
chance
6
216
Option
Votes
YES
NO
316
32
Will Manifold use our user-generated contributions to train a (chat)bot and/or sell/license it to an entity that will?
Oct 12, 7:50 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
68.56%
chance
6
66
Option
Votes
NO
YES
146
87
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