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Prediction markets for Eden

Will William Eden be cryopreserved?

Sep 21, 5:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.4%chance

2150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

30

Will any of William Eden's kids have a LAN party with any of Bryan Caplan's kids by 2035?

Sep 21, 8:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.12%chance

589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

71

Will any of William Eden's kids have a LAN party with any of Elon Musk's kids by 2035?

Sep 21, 11:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.72%chance

483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

82

Will at least one of William Eden's kids be part of "the plot" and uplift humanity out of NPC-dom by 2035?

Sep 21, 8:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.59%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

74

If William Eden played 1v1 Homeworld 3 with gaspode, would he win?

Oct 5, 12:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

44.32%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

82

59

If Jose Luis Ricon in a M4 Sherman faced off Will Eden in a Tiger I, would he win > 50% of simulated engagements (of50)

Feb 2, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

If William Eden played 1v1 Homeworld 3 with Andrej Karpathy, would he win?

Oct 5, 12:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.76%chance

210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

61

If Rochelle Shen played Civ6/Civ7 OR CK3 against William Eden would she win?

Sep 19, 7:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will JD Vance and William Eden interact by EOY2025?

Nov 11, 7:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will any of William Eden's children go to a top elite university? (HYPSMCC)

Jan 23, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

If William Eden were a character in CK3, would his intrigue attribute be higher than Alexey Guzey's

Sep 20, 4:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will William Eden get to drive a Panzerkampfwagen Tiger Ausf. B tank in his lifetime?

Sep 3, 6:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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