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Education News

Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM

9%chance

7922197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1861

46

Real U.S. spending on math R&D at higher-education institutions decrease by at least 25% by EOY 2028

Oct 3, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.15%chance

510552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20550

4866

Will the price of private education in Japan be cheaper in 5 years?

Apr 2, 10:44 AMJul 1, 2:59 PM

58.14%chance

159781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11784

8486

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

66.01%chance

497579

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1419

731

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.68%chance

117430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8928

3471

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Jan 3, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.49%chance

463997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1202

838

AI will be delivering the general education curriculum for all public universities within two years?

Jul 8, 10:23 PMJul 8, 10:18 PM

9%chance

16751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

318

31

Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?

Apr 8, 9:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

76.97%chance

19568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1409

832

Will the cost of higher education in the US maintain an average growth rate above 3% until 2040?

Apr 16, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.62%chance

14546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1344

661

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

33.88%chance

18478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

859

Will the college educated White vote swing toward the Republican presidential nominee in 2028 relative to 2024?

Jan 25, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.81%chance

5116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

Will AI provide significant uplift to CBRN threat creation for high-school educated people by 2030?

Aug 29, 12:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.61%chance

794

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

71

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