Education News

Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM

7%chance

7821906

OptionVotes

YES

1964

Department of Education eliminated by June 2026

Dec 26, 12:22 AMJul 1, 12:00 AM

4.5%chance

4621543

OptionVotes

YES

4609

217

Will the price of private education in Japan be cheaper in 5 years?

Apr 2, 10:44 AMJul 1, 2:59 PM

52.08%chance

148364

OptionVotes

YES

10426

9591

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

66.55%chance

497562

OptionVotes

YES

1436

722

Department of Education abolished by July 4, 2026

Nov 21, 7:57 AMJul 4, 12:00 AM

6.17%chance

327216

OptionVotes

YES

3899

256

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Jan 3, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

443928

OptionVotes

YES

1250

788

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

YES

4193

4124

AI will be delivering the general education curriculum for all public universities within two years?

Jul 8, 10:23 PMJul 8, 10:18 PM

9%chance

16751

OptionVotes

YES

318

Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?

Apr 8, 9:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

76.97%chance

19568

OptionVotes

YES

1409

832

Will the cost of higher education in the US maintain an average growth rate above 3% until 2040?

Apr 16, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.62%chance

14546

OptionVotes

YES

1344

661

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

31.41%chance

16398

OptionVotes

YES

1021

930

What changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?

Dec 19, 9:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

764

OptionProbability

Abolish the department, converting all expenditures into grants to state departments of education and removing all federal control over how the money is spent.

Abolish the department, transferring everything it does to other parts of the federal government.

Abolish the department, converting all its expenditures into a federal voucher program, with the money going to whatever form of education the parents prefer, including a public school if they choose to send their child there.

Other

Remove the secretary from the cabinet, relabel things a bit, leaving the power and flow of money essentially the same.

Abolish the department and all its programs and expenditures.

No changes

Education News

Prediction markets for Education

Prediction markets for Education

Prediction markets for Education

Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Department of Education eliminated by June 2026

Will the price of private education in Japan be cheaper in 5 years?

If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?

Department of Education abolished by July 4, 2026

Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

AI will be delivering the general education curriculum for all public universities within two years?

Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?

Will the cost of higher education in the US maintain an average growth rate above 3% until 2040?

Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?

What changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?

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