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Top stories

Democrats Shed 2.1 Million Voters Since 2020, NYT Analysis Shows

Democrats Shed 2.1 Million Voters Since 2020, NYT Analysis Shows

Authors

40

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Election Day 2020

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Mar 5, 4:55 PMJan 21, 3:59 AM

47.16%chance

15774690

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

887

Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028?

Jun 10, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6%chance

5797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

946

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?

Nov 7, 11:04 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

41%chance

7700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

834

Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026?

May 17, 12:03 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

444

OptionProbability

Silja Paymer

Robert Cox

Erik Poicon

Alexander Amoroso

IdaRose Sylvester

Paul Donahue

54

52

52

52

50

50

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