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Top stories

Pew Poll Finds Majority Backs Mail-In Voting Despite Trump Opposition

Executive Orders

Pew Poll Finds Majority Backs Mail-In Voting Despite Trump Opposition

Authors

16

7 months ago

Supreme Court Sets Oct. 8 Hearing on Illinois Post-Election Ballot Deadline Challenge

Supreme Court Sets Oct. 8 Hearing on Illinois Post-Election Ballot Deadline Challenge

Authors

4

7 months ago

Judicial Watch Removes 5 Million Names From Voter Rolls With DOJ Support, Pursues Cleanup Amid Court Ruling and Oregon, Illinois Issues

Judicial Watch Removes 5 Million Names From Voter Rolls With DOJ Support, Pursues Cleanup Amid Court Ruling and Oregon, Illinois Issues

Authors

3

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Election Day

Who will be President on Election Day 2028? (Add answers.)

Jul 21, 11:44 PMNov 8, 4:59 AM

2911891

OptionProbability

Donald Trump

JD Vance

Kamala Harris

Zvi Mowshowitz

Chuck Norris

Tim Walz

Other

75

21

1

1

1

1

1

Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?

Dec 23, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.21%chance

910109

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3358

100

Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?

Oct 31, 10:37 PMNov 1, 10:59 AM

234430

OptionProbability

David Seymour

Chlöe Swarbrick

Debbie Ngarewa-Packer

Winston Peters

Christopher Luxon

Rawiri Waititi

Chris Hipkins

Marama Davidson

James Shaw

92

92

82

80

79

79

75

62

1

What will be the generic ballot on election day 2026?

Jan 23, 5:33 AMNov 3, 4:59 AM

62714

OptionProbability

D+5.1 - D+10.0

D+0 - D+5.0

D+10.1 - D+15.0

R+0.1 - R+5.0

Higher than D+15.0

R+5.1 - R+10.0

Higher than R+10.0

58

23

8

4

4

2

1

Will the president elected in 2024 die before inauguration day 2029

Mar 17, 10:31 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

21.16%chance

151002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

427

190

Who will be favourite on election day to win the Texas senate election?

Feb 22, 7:09 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

7597

OptionProbability

Republicans

Democrats

59

41

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for president before Election Day 2028?

Aug 1, 4:27 AMNov 8, 7:59 AM

19.58%chance

11216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

58

Will Federal Agents draw guns on voters on Election Day 2026

Mar 21, 10:56 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

17%chance

6171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?

Jan 26, 3:05 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

20%chance

8112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, what percentage of Americans will live on less than $40 per day in 2028?

Jan 7, 4:13 PMJan 7, 11:59 PM

26.91%chance

583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

208

Will Zohran Mamdani make an endorsement in any non New York race before Election Day?

Feb 26, 6:09 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

66.84%chance

569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

213

105

Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?

Mar 4, 4:59 PMOct 25, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

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